Foreshock

Research

Definitions first, figures second

Studies published under the company name. Several public studies of stablecoin enforcement report figures that contradict each other, and almost all of the contradiction comes from measuring different things without saying so. Every study here ships its statistical definitions alongside its result, so that the next person can disagree with the definition rather than with the number.

Outputs
1
Definitions
Published with each study
Byline
None · company name only

Why published figures disagree

The disagreement is real, and it is almost entirely definitional

Public estimates of how long enforcement takes differ by more than an order of magnitude. None of the differences below is a mistake. They become mistakes at the moment the numbers are quoted side by side as if they answered the same question.

Different populations
One chain or several. One asset or several. A single issuer or an aggregate. A median over one population says nothing about another, and population is the field most often left unstated.
Different units of count
Some studies count enforcement actions, some count affected addresses, some count transactions. One action against many addresses moves each of the three counts differently, and the resulting rates are not comparable.
Different endpoints
An interval can be measured to the block timestamp of execution, to the moment a public feed showed it, or to the moment the study’s own collector saw it. The last two measure the observer as much as the event.
Different treatment of unmeasurable cases
Events with no measurable starting endpoint are dropped by some studies and counted as zero by others. Dropping and zeroing move a median in opposite directions, which is enough on its own to explain most of the published spread.
Different periods, compared as one
Studies covering different years are quoted together as a single state of the world. Where the underlying quantity is itself changing over time, that comparison manufactures a disagreement that does not exist.